Humans Better Than AI at Forecasting Future

May 13, 2025 - 22:01
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Humans Better Than AI at Forecasting Future
Being able to predict the future seems nice. I would've liked to know that my S&P 500 index funds would peak in mid-February and then fall off a cliff in April. It would've been helpful for my reporting in the lead-up to the inauguration to know just how far the Trump administration would go to attack foreign aid. And while I'm at it, I'd like some sense of where mortgage rates are going, so I can better judge when to buy a house.

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